Ten Elements of the False COVID Narrative (last 5)

I am heartened that the tide seems to be turning. The Great Barrington Declaration is attracting thousands of scientists’ signatures each day. And the World Health Association’s COVID spokesperson has done an about-face and come out in opposition to lockdowns, recognizing explicitly the suffering, the poverty, and the health implications of the policy most of the world has pursued these 6 months.

The global response to COVID claims science for its foundation, and my aim in this series is to show that what is being done does not represent a scientific consensus, and is deeply variant from past public health practices. I don’t understand who is behind this, but I suspect that it is not mere incompetence or bureaucratic inertia; this suspicion is based on

  • Fraudulence of chloroquine trials
  • Suppression of scientific dissent
  • Evidence that SARS-CoV-2 originated in a lab, and suppression of this evidence in the scientific literature and in the press
  • Secrecy in planning the political response to COVID
  • Neglect of all the ancillary harms from lockdown in deciding on a response. (This warning published last March in the NYTimes by a senior epidemiologist from Yale probably could not be published in October.)
  • Well-established, safe and effective treatments for COVID are being bypassed to hang the world’s future on the mirage of a vaccine, though vaccines are (1) far more expensive and (2) much harder to prove safe and effective [See #10 below]
  • Public announcements and even the way the numbers are calculated are inciting widespread fear in the public. I think this fear is far more than is warranted, and I suspect that this is by design.

The method behind this madness remains elusive to me. But political journalists outside the established media are emphasizing the military connection. One investigative journalist whom I respect for her courage and her diligence is Whitney Webb. Here, she shows us that Operation Warp-speed is a military project much more than a public health project. It is plausible to me that COVID originated in a bioweapons research lab. And from the beginning, the US response was planned not by public health experts but by secret meetings of military leaders

I hope you will explore these connections and come to your own conclusions. My more modest goal in this series is to establish that “science” cannot be invoked to justify the lockdowns, the masking, the secrecy, the closure of schools and churches and cultural institutions. Least of all can “science” justify censorship, because the process by which science reaches for truth depends on open debate from a diversity of perspectives.


6. “New cases of COVID are expanding now in a dangerous Second Wave”

We’re concerned not for the virus but for the suffering and death that it causes. In March and April, we were frightened by the rising numbers of COVID deaths. But in May, CDC stopped reporting daily deaths and switched to reporting daily cases.

Traditionally, “cases” are defined as people who become seriously ill. That was the definition for a short while. Then it was “people who test positive for the virus”. On May 19, CDC started adding people who tested positive for antibodies to the virus as “cases”. We’re told that there is a troubling increase in COVID cases lately. If people really were getting sick, this would be disturbing. But if it is an increase in perfectly healthy people testing positive for antibodies, it is a wholly good thing. It’s called “herd immunity”.

No test is infallible, and invariably there are people who test positive who don’t really have the virus. These are false positives. As the prevalence of COVID has dropped with summer weather and more of the population already exposed (herd immunity), the rates are so low in many urban areas that false positive tests are swamping the true positives, and we really can’t say anything about trends. This recent article concludes that the quality of available data is no longer a reliable basis for policy data decisions.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/29/health/coronavirus-testing.html

The low death rates are, of course, a good thing. The problem is that the false positives are being reported without explanation as though they were meaningful data about prevalence of COVID.

COVID is no longer among the top 5 causes of death in America. Why is our government slanting the reports in ways that keep us scared? I don’t have an answer to this question. I know there is a great deal of money riding on vaccines, and that by any sane criterion, COVID vaccines are past their usefulness, even if we had reason to believe they were safe. But I don’t think this fully explains the fear campaign. I suggest that it’s my job and yours to keep asking questions.

7. “Dr Fauci and the CDC are guiding our response to COVID according to the same principles of epidemic management that have protected public health in the past.”

On the contrary, standard public health procedure is to quarantine the sick and protect the most vulnerable. Telling a whole country full of healthy people to stay at home is entirely new, unstudied, a sharp departure from previous practices.

Closing down manufacturers, offices, stores, churches, concert halls, theaters, even closing private homes to social and family guests—all this is a radical new experiment. There are no scientific studies to justify it, because it has never been done in the past.

Containment of the virus is feasible if it is begun very early, when the virus is geographically contained and the number of cases is small enough that every case can be accounted for. It’s then possible for severe isolation to halt the virus in its tracks. (This was the strategy pursued by China.) Once there are thousands of cases, it is feasible to slow the spread, but not to change the fact that eventually, everyone in the population will be exposed.

Dr Fauci was clearly aware of this, because when he made his March announcement, he was asking America to isolate only for a few weeks. His goal was explicitly to “flatten the curve”, meaning to make sure the disease didn’t spread so rapidly that hospital ICUs would be overwhelmed. At the beginning, he (quite reasonably) did not claim that the measures he prescribed to America would contain the virus, but only slow its spread.

It worked. Except in a few isolated regions, there was never a shortage of hospital beds. But six months later, we are still masking and social distancing, long past when the original justification for these measures has been forgotten.

8. “Asymptomatic carriers are an important vector of disease transmission, which must be isolated if we are to stop the spread of COVID”

The justification for separating healthy people from other healthy people is the idea that we never know who is really healthy. We know from past history that colds and flu become contagious a day or two before they have symptoms, though the viral load that they transmit is greatly increased once the virus has taken hold and they are coughing and sneezing.

Extending quarantine from the traditional application to people who are obviously sick to the general population is a huge innovation, imposing tens of trillions of dollars in lost productivity worldwide, as well as social and psychological hardship. Isolation kills. It could only have been justified by evidence that the virus could not be contained by the same methods that have been used for all previous epidemics. Where is the evidence that asymptomatic carriers are a critical link in the chain of transmission?

Dr Fauci got it right at first when he said, “In all the history of respiratory-born viruses of any type, asymptomatic transmission has never been the driver of outbreaks. The driver of outbreaks is always a symptomatic person.” [Jan 28] Subsequently, there were anecdotal articles documenting particular cases in which asymptomatic transmission did occur [one, two, three]. How can we know if asymptomatic carriers are an important part of the dynamic spread of the disease? This paper is the only attempt I have found to study the question with a detailed mathematical model; but, in the end, it just calculates unknowns from unmeasurables, and reaches no conclusion. We are left with common sense, which says that patients with symptoms have much higher viral levels (that’s why they are sick). They are also coughing and aspirating more of the virus (that’s why the virus evolved to make us cough). When Maria van Kerkhove, speaking for the WHO, stated that asymptomatic transmission was not important, she was reined in by those who control the narrative, and she walked back the statement the next day.

9. “The lower death rates now compared to April are due to protective measures such as social distancing, mask-wearing, and limited travel.”

Why would we expect lower death rates? From measures intended to limit social contact and spread of the virus, we should expect lower infection rates. But that’s not happening; instead, we have higher case rates coupled with lower death rates. This can reasonably be explained by (1) changes in definition of what constitutes a “case” (see #6 above), (2) wider testing, (3) the virus evolving, as most viruses tend to do, toward higher infectivity and lower fatality, and (4) fall weather.

10. “With enough resources, pharmaceutical scientists can develop a vaccine in a matter of months, and provide reasonable assurance that it is safe.”

This is the most dangerous of all the fictions and, not incidentally, the one most closely related to $6 billion in NIH investments and tens of billions in projected corporate profits.

The subject of vaccines is highly polarizing. On the one hand, the mainstream press, especially the scientific press, has been hammering with singular purpose the message that vaccines are safe and effective and necessary not just for individual protection but for public health. On the other hand, there is about one third of the American public who distrust what they hear about vaccines, enough so that they will refuse a vaccine (if not coerced). [Updated to half of Americans, according to recent Pew survey] So much has been written about vaccine safety that I would not presume to try to convince you one way or the other in a few paragraphs. I can tell you that my own attitude changed when I had a bad reaction four years ago to a pneumonia vaccine (PCV13), and learned that there is no corporate liability for vaccine injuries. An act of Congress in 1986 exempted vaccines from the standard testing for safety and efficacy that other medications must pass, and also indemnified vaccine companies from all liability for harm caused by either design or manufacture. In my opinion, this is a dangerous situation, as it removes all motivation for companies to make a safe product. Recent amendments to the 2005 PREP act take the extraordinary extra step, for COVID vaccines only, of absolving the companies for liability in advance for fraud and intentional infliction of harm.

I’ll close this series by defending my claim above that, compared to treatments, vaccines are (1) far more expensive and (2) much harder to prove safe and effective.

  1. One reason that vaccines are more expensive for the public (and correspondingly more profitable for the industry) is that vaccines are for everyone, while treatments are only for less than 1% of the population that becomes sick enough to need them. There is a race to patent a vaccine, a race for billions of dollars in private profits that derive from spending public research funds, and the profit potential is distorting our public priorities. The best treatment we have is hydroxychloroquine, which is out of patent, has a 65-year safety record, and costs pennies per dose. FDA can only legally approve vaccines on a fast track basis if they find that no viable treatments are available. This is ample explanation for the campaign to discredit chloroquine and other effective treatments.
  2. Because a vaccine is given to 100 times as many people, it must be 100 times safer in order to impose the same health burden from side effects. COVID is only life-threatening for people who are old and/or disabled; so to establish the safety of a vaccine, clinical trials must include people who are old and/or disabled. The relevant question is: are people who receive the vaccine dying at a lower rate than people who received a placebo?  But none of the trials are being designed to ask this question.

    There is a reason why vaccines are tested over many years, and why “warp-speed” testing cannot tell us what we need to know. Though a vaccine is always designed with one particular pathogen in mind, the effects of vaccination—beneficial and detrimental—extend to the immune system generally. This is the complex subject of cross-immunity [refrefrefref]. It is generally true that live virus vaccines tend to confer cross immunity toward non-target viruses, while vaccines made from protein fragments tend to impair immunity to non-target infections. Only one of the candidate vaccines is derived from live, attenuated virus. The new class of RNA vaccines [Moderna] is entirely untested, and we have no idea what the long-term effects would be, but initial results give us pause.

If you are open to an honest and competent criticism of vaccine science and politics, I recommend Robert F. Kennedy’s web site.


The Bottom Line

The story that we are being told about an ultra-lethal virus that “jumped to humans” and the scientific community converging on a response proportional to the threat—this story is unraveling, as more and more doctors and public health professionals are adding their voices to a global movement to restore sanity and integrity in the pandemic response.

44 thoughts on “Ten Elements of the False COVID Narrative (last 5)

  1. Why could chloroquine be a bad idea unless absolutely necessary? It’s a fluoroquinolone, a group of medications that carry a “black-box warning” in the United States.

    I’d also comment that in this and the previous post you seem to conflate survival with “full recovery”. People survive severe concussion, car-accidents, and drugs that cause their blood to become over-prone to clotting for the rest of their lives.

    The world is trying to do things differently, _and better_ than it has in the past. Gathering data, tracking exposure; all tools of that can give us real analysis of disease spread. You criticize this, AND you cite statements given in a time when this kind of information wasn’t available.
    It’s likely there are opportunistic agencies that are using this pandemic to follow some of the agendas you’ve outlined, but that’s ever been the nature of humanity. This article and it’s predecessor do not hold up to scrutiny.

    • Actually, although chemically related cousins, Chloroquine and Quinolone are very different.

      Quinolone was discovered as an IMPURITY in the chemical manufacture of Chloroquine.

      https://pubs.acs.org/doi/pdf/10.1021/jm501881c

      “The first antimicrobial quinolone was discovered about 50 years ago as an impurity in the chemical manufacture of a batch of the antimalarial agent chloroquine (Figure 2).

      It demonstrated anti Gram-negative antibacterial activity, but its potency and antimicrobial spectrum were not significant enough to be useful in therapy. Building on this lead, however, subsequently nalidixic acid was commercialized.”

  2. Nice Job Josh

    One addition to your blog might be>>>

    You wrote>>>
    9. “The lower death rates now compared to April are due to protective measures such as social distancing, mask-wearing, and limited travel.”

    Why would we expect lower death rates? From measures intended to limit social contact and spread of the virus, we should expect lower infection rates. But that’s not happening; instead, we have higher case rates coupled with lower death rates. This can reasonably be explained by (1) changes in definition of what constitutes a “case” (see #6 above), (2) wider testing, (3) the virus evolving, as most viruses tend to do, toward higher infectivity and lower fatality, and (4) fall weather.

    My note- Acutally I believe that the reason the death rate goes down in the fall is because the population is just finisihing up with a long summer and thus population vitamin d3 levels are much higher than in the winter and early spring when the virus was most deadly. (We make Vitamin D3 when the sun hits our skin- and Vitamin D3 is a hormone not a vitamin that controls 2700+ genes mostly involved with immune system regulation) .There is a mountain of evidence already that the severity of COvid-19 symptoms correlates exactly with vitamin d3 levels. Those with the lowest D3 levels are the ones who die. Not a single hospital admission for covid-19 patients (n=400+) had a vitamin d3 level over 40 ng/ml….All were under and the US reference range is 30 to 100 ng/ml…Shall I go on? A recent Spanish study divided newly hospitalized patients (for covid-19) into 2 groups 25 getting just hydroxychloroquine (HZ) and azithromycin (AZ), and 50 getting HZ and AZ and HIGH dose vitmain d3 every other day >>100,000 IUs+ and 50,000 IUs +
    Results ? 13 of the 25 in the control group were admitted to the intesive care unit (ICU) …only one on the high dose d3 group went to the ICU. The control, group had 2 deaths, the D3 group had NO DEATHS…Bottom line? High dose d3 reduced ICU admissions by 97%!. and elimated covid-19 deaths.. So it looks like the reason we are having higher infection rates with lower to declining deaths is because the population vitamin d3 levels are much higher at the end of the summer than in winter and spring. I have written best selling health books that have sold 500,000+ copies…and I wrote a recent book about Covid-19 that was banned by Amazon after 2 weeks and 13 reviews – all 5 stars….and I am now giving it away free…as a pdf file it is titled
    16 Fascinating Covid-19 & Spanish Flu Mysteries Solved! HOW TO EASILY PREVENT THE NEXT PANDEMIC
    You can read first 2 sample chapters and request the free pdf at this link>>>

    https://jefftbowles.com/16-fascinating-covid-19-spanish-flu-mysteries-how-to-easily-prevent-the-next-pandemic/

    PS rfecently Donald Trump made a remarkable recovery in 3 days from Covid-19 ..they are giving al the credit to the anitbodies from Regerneron which probably helped, to Resdemisvir, and dexamethasone , and melatonin and zinc. What they are downplaying and ignoring is the treament that probably played the biggest role in his getting beter so fast and “feeling better than I have in 20 years” Trump was also getting 50,000 IUs per day of Vitamin D3 every other day-much like those in the recent Spanish study. I doubt the antibodies made Trump feel better than he has in 20 years..This is a comment made by many many people who take high dose vitamin D3 for the first time…
    You can see this by searching around in the 1,000+ High dose Vitamin D3 case studies search engine…search terms like fell or energy or years…here is the link>>>
    https://jefftbowles.com/vitamin-d3-cure-search-engine-can-d3-cure-your-disease-1000-case-studies/

    • Jeff- excellent points about Vitamin D! Trump may also have had pretty good vitamin D levels from all his golf. It certainly is unusual that with his weight and poor diet that he faired as well as he did with COVID. Yay, cheap, safe vitamin D. Shame on the media for not having this information as front page news.

  3. Excellent, thank you. What is your opinion of flu vaccine? Should we have it – will it help to increase resistance to Coronavirus? Should we have it anyway? Thanks.

    • The best vaccine is to get infected and not have any symptoms like a large number of Covid-19 “cases” have done. Infection and recovery is way superior to vaccination for preventing a future infection. Usually lasts a life time for most viruses. How to not get symptoms? Take 50,000 IUs of D3 per day at the first sign of symptms..like Donald Trump did. Now he is likely immune for life and will never have to wear a mask HAHAHA..

      • I concur- lots of vitamin D but since there seem to be a lot of clotting issues, I would also add NAC (N-Acetyl-Cysteine) as it helps prevent clotting. And zinc helps with immunity and Quercetin helps drive the zinc into the cells. Vitamin C is also helpful. A very cheap and safe handful of supplements to take daily for life even to lessen the danger of any pathogen.

    • Seems to me that, since this disease will probably lurk for many years, a vaccine is still a good idea for vulnerable populations. …A disappointment for those racing for big profits, but still a market.

    • Read “Plague of Corruption” by Judy Mikovits, PhD. You are far more likely to die of the flu if you have had the flu vaccine.

  4. I looked through the dates lockdowns were announced and found the following early adopters-
    Italy-03/09
    Iran-03/14
    Spain-03/14
    and by state in the US
    California-03/17
    Illinois-03/21
    New York-03/22

    These early adopters certainly don’t suggest lockdown was a Strangelovian right wing military conspiracy. In the US more reasonable to consider a media driven process with the support of politically driven scientific organizations and individuals.

    It has been my personal experience that countries that are divided about 50/50 on fundamental societal issues are chaotic and politics become far too important a component of every day life. Democracy is not well suited to govern populations that are fundamentally split 50/50. In the case of the US one of these oppositional halves control the day to day operation of the Federal Government both military and non-military. The US Federal Government controls an enormous amount of money and money attracts certain kinds of people be they in military or civilian roles and with scientific or non scientific background. With trillions of dollars spent each year, and to be elected to have oversight over those dollars being a costly process, the risk for corruption of the process reaches 100%. It is a law of nature and in this case human nature.

    In this case the status quo receives support from academic idealists who have fundamentally a statist outlook. They feel virtuous having supported a government lockdown policy if for no other reason then an immense demonstration of government control that provides the illusion of safety.

    This is where I likely have a different view. Younger scientists have been so thoroughly propagandized during their education that critical thought is secondary to political dogma and this no different than has been previously in human political history. If looking for the prime movers of this plan then I believe the search needs to be international rather then limited to within the walls of the Pentagon.

  5. Again, thank you, Josh, for your coverage of the topics. Your one of the smartest guys I know, interested and openminded and not given to hyperbole.
    I have heard this a few times recently, that as you suggested, “ Containment of the virus is feasible if it is begun very early,” but the inherent flaw in this idea is that in the early days of our determining a novel virus is spreading, we as yet do not know how dangerous it is, nor who it impacts in particular. This, added to the difficulty of actually and successfully sealing shut a border, region or community renders this idea not, imo.

  6. Apparently if President Trump says something in regards to the virus then his opponents are driven to assert the opposite. Hydroxychloroquine / Zinc touted by President Trump within minutes voice are raised to say it is killing people. The absurd world we are living in now is killing thousands of people needlessly. It is truly a terrifying time to be alive. Regardless of how you feel about the President surely peoples lives trump opposing him…apparently not.

  7. So many excellent points to consider. I will focus on one I can resonate with due to personal experience.

    Regarding this statement from your article: “I can tell you that my own attitude changed when I had a bad reaction four years ago to a pneumonia vaccine (PCV13), and learned that there is no corporate liability for vaccine injuries. An act of Congress in 1986 exempted vaccines ..”

    Until a person has a negative reaction to a vaccine, it may be difficult to understand another person’s reluctance to get vaccines.

    I had a negative reaction to an unneeded vaccine, and it also changed my view.

    Vaccines and boosters are not water.

    Also, regarding knee jerk administration of Boosters: Why not titer the blood to see if residual antibodies still survive?

    A titer test is an antibody blood test that can tell you if a previous vaccine is still protecting you.

    Also it has long been known that flu vaccines do not work as well in the elderly. Nor do boosters.

    https://www.discovermagazine.com/health/why-flu-vaccines-dont-work-as-well-in-the-elderly

    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-28111-8

    “Evidence shows that booster vaccinations are less effective in elderly people”

    Veterinarians have long recognized the hazards of vaccinating old dogs and have recommended titers in lieu of knee-jerk boosters or unneeded vaccinations.

    https://thebark.com/content/titer-testing

    The most recent American Animal Hospital Association (AAHA) Canine Vaccination Guidelines say that reported side effects from vaccines vary from injection-site reactions, lethargy, lack of appetite and fever to more serious adverse events, including allergic reactions, autoimmune problems and, rarely, sarcoma or other tumors.

    The decision about when to vaccinate requires a risk-benefit analysis.

    Most experts agree that vaccines are critical to the overall health and wellness of our dogs (and cats), but many also agree that giving a vaccine when it is not needed exposes animals to unnecessary hazards.

  8. Having a fully functioning immune system is better than any vaccine or treatment. Over many centuries humans have gradually moved out of the sun and our vitamin D blood levels have gotten very low. The purpose of the hormone we call vitamin D is to slow down body systems to survive winter. Humans now have this slow-down-everything signal 365 days a year their entire lives. The signal may stop when your level gets to 60 ng/ml (150 nmol/L) but most humans have less than 30. We had rickets before the 1918 Spanish Flu. There are many studies showing those dying of covid are the ones with the lowest D levels. One intervention study gave vitamin D to patients and only 1 out of 50 given vitamin D needed ICU while 13/26 needed ICU who didn’t get vitamin D. This video shows genetic evidence that a blood level of 40 ng/ml is not enough to have a fully functional immune system. Why Does Vitamin D Exist? https://youtu.be/vjq5t1GWb_Y

  9. Did you see that trial in Turkey? Phase 2 trial on a supplement mix with nicotinamide riboside and N-acetyl cysteine, shows 29 percent reduction in recovery time… and they hadn’t even selected for older patients (that would be expected to respond more to NR). Phase 3 is in progress:

    https://www.aboutnad.com/perspectives/new-phase-2-clinical-in-covid-19-patients-finds-hydroxychloroquine-hcq-plus-nutritional-protocol-including-nicotinamide-riboside-significantly-improved-recovery-time-vs-hcq-alone

  10. There seems to be a problem with your blog. Your latest post “Ten Elements of the False COVID Narrative (last 5)” doesn’t show up on any of my browsers and devices.

  11. The truth is, as always, in the middle. The real problem with COVID is not the number of infections nor the number of deaths but the number of hospitalizations
    Here in Germany the second wave is already here. Yesterday were 5000 infections only 20 deaths but hospilalization are beginning to rise quite sharp. Although now only 5 % of ICU beds are occupied with COVID patients the German autorities have imposed additional restrictions, because if the hospitalizations rise proportionaly with infections, then in December the capacity of the hospitals will be overwhelmed
    In Germany the cases are conted very carefully (one must have 2 positive tests if asymptomatic) and 2 negative tests to be attested as cured.

    Other problem with COVID is that there are many (more than 10%) that were infected with COVID that have different ailments long after recovering,

  12. Bravo, Josh! I hope this helps turn the mad tide, but word on the street says not. I have been scolded twice in 24 hours while walking outside by self-certain mask and distance vigilantes. The local daily rag included an incredible fright-mongering “obey” propaganda article headlining massive infection increases without saying a word about actual deaths. It was loaded with exactly the false messaging you have detailed, including a chilling picture of a large mass-grave that has been dug. Notably, the faux-liberal Democrats are the worst proponents of this dark charade.

  13. Josh, on #9, you asked how masked and social distancing could possibly reduce percentage of deaths rather than just reduce # of infections. It’s potentially because when the virus is passed along, there is less of an initial viral load. This would be because masks and distancing, while they certainly cannot stop all aerosols, clearly would decrease the amount. See this Nature roundup study on masks:

    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02801-8

    I do agree that case reporting (especially reporting antibodies as a “case”, undifferentiated) has been really weird.

    The positive studies for HCQ are also compelling and it does seem like HCQ perhaps became a political football in the US specifically.

    I’m struggling to understand the larger picture you seem to be talking about: military involvement, COVID as an excuse for privacy violation etc.. COVID is a global phenomenon, with many approaches to treatment, many different ways of counting the infected and deaths, and we still end up with a severe and novel threat in every country, and approaches that are more similar than different (even Sweden *advised* social distancing, just didn’t mandate it).

    So can you articulate any of your – even inchoate – theories as to how COVID and the response thereto is a coordinated thing, with some specific purpose?

  14. There is a culture of tolerating/embracing preventable death in the US (gun laws, lack of health care, indifference to climate change, even drone strikes on others) that seems weird to most of the western world. Josh your writings on COVID, somewhat ironically while placed on a blog dedicated to preventing aging, seem to fit this mold. These areas of policy where preventable death is tolerated are all occurring in social situations where a little social coordination yields a higher overall utility than solutions crafted on the individual level, but this coordination is being derided as conspiracy and illiberal (in the sense of not supporting personal liberties). The issue is that game theoretic models are unequivocal in showing that a groups capacity to co-operate is optimal for flourishing. I am not convinced by any of the arguments you have presented because they seem to react too stridently based on flimsy data points to the conventional social co-ordination approach. They seem wilfully ignorant of the weight of evidence in support of the conventional approach which has succeeded in many areas of the world where it has been able to be implemented. I do not think the loss of liberty is under as much threat as you do from the social co-ordination approach but think there is more of a “culture shock” occurring particularly in the US where optimal social coordination solutions do not fit the dominant culture that values individually crafted solutions/self reliance. People who work in the big cities in the US (NY/LA) and have been more pro-active/compliant with lockdown measures are less likely to have this shock because they are more used to social coordination as part of their lives.

    • There is also a culture among some of embracing the illusion of being able to have control over every aspect of their lives to prevent death.

      Let’s look at medical errors:

      https://duluthreader.com/articles/2019/12/05/114069-medicalsurgical-error-and-prescription-drug

      …researchers from the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine. The authors calculated that medical errors accounted for > 250,000 deaths every year in the US, which made iatrogenic (= physician, drug or vaccine-caused) deaths the third leading cause of death in the US, surpassed only by #1 heart disease (647,457) and #2 cancer (599,108) (2018 CDC data).

      More……..

      Drugs that have caused deaths or illnesses are rarely listed by physicians on death certificates or in rankings of causes of death or illnesses.

      Other ways people can die:

      In the USA about 35,000 plus deaths from car accidents.

      About 3,000 plus from drownings in the USA. That number would likely be far higher but most people living in a large city with high populations do not have a backyard pools or live within walking distance of a community pool or body of water.

      About 50,000 in USA die each year from pneumonia.

      About 35,000 in USA die each year from the flu.

      About 48,000 RECORDED suicides in the USA annually

      Regarding reported gun deaths: last recorded CDC gun death data was in 2017 in The USA.

      That number was about 39,000 including suicides.

      Living Life is definitely Risky.

      • I agree.
        The annual deaths in the US are around 2.8 million (many in horrible circumstances) but usually these are not beamed into peoples homes by the media 24/7. Even the usual phrase-“prevent death“- is poorly formed. Actually death can only be delayed by some amount of time until it can’t. The old joke that life is a fatal sexually transmitted disease has truth. Amazing that some fervently subscribe to the idea that the government can prevent death.

        The bad part is that the media (and others) has found this so profitable that incredibly difficult to get the genie back into the bottle.

  15. Josh, I really appreciate these last two postings. I, too, have wondered about how this COVID-19 business has been handled on the part of the so-called “experts” and “elites”. In addition to what you have said, the following three options have been completely ignored by the medical establishment.

    1) Obesity and just being generally out of shape is the second biggest risk factor for adverse COVID-19 outcomes. Why then is there no public campaign for people to do physical fitness and loose the weight?

    2) There has been no effort or even discussion on the part of the medical establishment to develop Todd Rider’s DRACO, which has the potential to work against a great many viral agents. Again why not?

    3) The single biggest risk factor for adverse COVID-19 outcomes is being old, more specifically immune senescence. I am certain that all of you reading this are aware of Greg Faye’s TRIIM work in regenerating the Thymus gland using three compounds. Again complete silence from the medical establishment with regards to this. Why?

    I’m still at the point where I think it is simply bureaucratic incompetence and inertia. Anyone who has worked in large organizations is aware of the nature of bureaucracy to make smart people stupid. However, it is starting to dawn on me that there may be more to this story than simple incompetence and inertia.

    If there is actual intent in this, it is probably greed, meaning all of the money that can be made from the vaccine. Having had major physiological and psychological issues in childhood, and a brain fog in young adulthood; which in retrospect clearly came from medical Mercury, I share your skepticism of excessive vaccinations. The use of Mercury in medicine and dentistry is a crime against humanity.

  16. If we really want to engage in conspiracy thinking, here is one hiding in plain sight.

    The Great Barrington Declaration was sponsored by the American Institute for Economic Research (AIER), a libertarian think tank which receives a substantial part of its funding from its own investments, with holdings valued at US$284 million in a wide range of fossil fuel companies incl. Chevron and ExxonMobil, tobacco giant Philip Morris International, Microsoft, Alphabet Inc. and many other companies.[7][8] It has a balance sheet of US$37 million and in 2018 received a US$68,100 donation from the Koch Foundation. AIER describes itself as lobbying for a world “organized according to the principles of pure freedom – in which the role of government is sharply confined to the provision of public goods and individuals can flourish within a truly free market”[24] and as producing “independent, scientific, economic research to educate individuals, thereby advancing their personal interests and those of the nation”. Its network of local “Bastiat Society” chapters partners with the Atlas Network, Ayn Rand Institute, Cato Institute, the Charles Koch Institute, and other Koch-funded think tanks. AIER statements and publications consistently portray the risks of climate change as minor and manageable, a form of climate change denial.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Barrington_Declaration

    • It’s been awhile since I put much stock in Wiki, outside of botanical entries. They’ve consistently sided with the billionaires who’ve been pushing for the lockdown reaction to this cold virus, subsequent vaccine, etc. (i.e. Bill Gates).
      Are they certain that AIER has been funding the work of these three scientists? And brought them to MA for this? “Sponsored” can mean a number of things.

      • Besides, since when have libertarians been the “bad” guys? Unless its changed in recent years that I don’t know about, libertarians have always been about liberty and allowing people the freedom to work it out on their own, making their own choices in life. They’re the only people I know of that don’t want to boss you around and make you do stuff you don’t want to do. How in hell does this make libertarians the “bad” guys?

    • James, Thomas – are you really thinking of yourselves as “science-based” when pointing to sources that use word “denier”, a term of religious origin, indicating zelaous faith in whatever the mainstream academic circles deem the correct dogma for the time?
      So, either you’re a “believer” in the dogma of catastrophic manmade global warming caused by CO2, or you are a “denier” and you should burn on stake with everyone who questions the Holy God of Science, right?

      • Settle down. “Denier” is simply a shorthand description for people who don’t accept the obvious reality of anthropogenic global warming. No need to get dramatic about it.

        • Unfortunately, the word is used nowadays to shut down (or, like this case, shushing the opposing theory) all scientific discourse, be it climate, nutrition, medicine, etc, etc, etc. it’s a sophomore tool, an all too frequent trope.

          • I don’t think there is an opposing theory in Fox/Trump style of argumentation. There is just an over emphasis on plausible deniability and the assertion of conspiracy and persecution. There is a responsibility in science not only to be critical and examine alternative notions but to give due consideration to the weight of evidence. This also applies with COVID analysis.

          • There is no “alternative theory” plausibly explaining observed global warming. That’s the problem.

            I’ve never heard the term “denier” used in any other context. And it’s frankly the most polite term I believe you could use to describe such people, though I’m open to suggestions.

        • There isn’t a single testable prediction from AGW that hasn’t been falsified. Be it Mann’s hockey stick or submersion of much of NYC or loss of the Maldives or collapse of global agriculture or increase in hurricanes or increase in tornados activity-all false by the use by date promoted.

          Are you knowledgeable about paleo climate or the spectroscopy of carbon dioxide or the numerical modeling of chaotic natural systems?

          If so please explain the basis of your certainty.

  17. The Great Barrington Declaration is plain nonsense funded in part by the Kochs. It includes signatures from “Dr. Coconuts, PHD in Coconutology” and “Miss Wonderwoman, PHD in being bulletproof”.

    Now, the grifters behind the Great Barrington Declaration claim only .1% of the signatures are “fake”, originating from “online trolls”. Which means they allowed anyone with an internet connection to sign.

    For another perspective, I suggest looking at “Science Based Medicine’s” take on what these people are proposing
    https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/great-barrington-declaration/

  18. I thought it was extremely amusing that the search for super habitable planets include a temperature criteria of 5 degrees C warmer than Earth.

    Here is a blurb about this criteria-

    “Surface temperature of planets: The surface temperature of planets would strongly influence the formation of moisture, clouds, and humidity, all of which help determine the presence of a key life indicator: water. Planets with a mean surface temperature of about 5°C greater than Earth would be more suitable, as the slightly higher overall temperatures along with the additional moisture would be better for life. Life’s preference for warmth and moisture is evident on Earth too, as we see greater biodiversity in tropical rain forests as compared to colder, drier areas.“

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